Percentage looms large in GNFL top-four outcome
Round 13 in the GNFL tomorrow is predictable but because of percentage, it has potential prizes or pitfalls.
Railways are hotly favoured at Mazzuchelli Oval over Chapman Valley, Northampton will surely beat Mullewa at Purcher International Oval and Brigades should crush Towns at Country Builders Stadium.
But with the top four so tight, percentage could be crucial with regard to making the top two and a double chance in the finals, so big wins will be desired.
Railways currently lead the standings (34 points, percentage 217.19), followed by Brigades (32/260.39), Rovers (30/218.99) and Northampton (28/219.77).
Rovers have played 11 games (of 14) and the rest 10 but all will have played 11 tomorrow and the if results go as expected, the table will be Railways on 38 points, Brigades 36, Northampton 32 and Rovers 30.
Railways have no easy games to finish their qualifiers. They play Norths and Rovers at home and Brigades away. Brigades meet Rovers away followed by a percentage booster against Mullewa and finish against Railways at home. The fact Brigades’ percentage is superior to the others may prove handy.
Norths have a sympathetic schedule; they line up against Railways away and ease out against Valley and Towns.
Rovers face Brigades at home, Railways away and a walk in the park against Valley before a last-round bye.
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The defending premiers will do well to make the top two from here.
In news from last week, Brigades beat Northampton for their 11th successive home-game win over the Rams.
Brigades’ Dale Williamson took his season bag to 58 goals and needs 18 more to top Dale Baynes as the GNFL’s leading goal kicker.
Brigades play Towns tomorrow and, given Towns’ struggles this year, Williamson will fancy getting a good deal closer to the record.
He has scored 10 or more goals in a game against every club bar Towns, where his best is nine.
Baynes is Towns coach, and his players will be desperate to delay Williamson’s quest.
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